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No Escape From The Evergrande Effect
No Escape From The Evergrande Effect

China’s official debt-to-GDP ratio has surged by 45 percentage points since 2016, leaving it with one of the highest debt ratios for any developing country in the history of mankind. The Chinese property sector is particularly notorious for its addiction to debt and Evergrande, the most-indebted property developer in the world, has on-balance-sheet liabilities that amount to nearly 2% of China’s annual GDP. Read More

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The Anti-Bubble Years (Part II)
The Anti-Bubble Years (Part II)

Returning back to the question that opened last week’s EVA, why, for nearly 40 years, was I almost always bullish to very bullish on bonds?  The cut-to-the-chase reason was that interest rates were largely positive even after inflation for most of that timeframe. Read More

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The Anti-Bubble Years (Part I)
The Anti-Bubble Years (Part I)

Bubbles now get tremendous amounts of press. Their counterparts, however, don’t. In my 42 years of financial market experience, anti-bubbles are where immense amount of wealth are made and bubbles are where they are lost. Read More

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